14-February-2026
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Economists expect retail inflation to be 35-50 bps lower in new CPI series
14-Feb-2026

Economists expect FY27 headline inflation to be 35-50 bps lower than the RBI forecast in FY27 due to the higher weight given to core inflation and the marginally lower weight given to the food basket, which in the old series had the highest weight of over 42%, in the new inflation series with base year of 2024 as they expect underlying price pressures to remain contained going forward. The new series has the base year changed to 2024 from the earlier 2012, along with a change in weights of items in the CPI basket. In the new series, the item basket will comprise of 354 items, up 19% from the old series. Of which the share of food and beverages came down to 36.75% from 45.86% earlier.

News Source:- https://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2026/Feb/13/economists-expect-retail-inflation-to-be-35-50-bps-lower-in-new-cpi-series